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Chiefs vs. Falcons prediction, best bets: Michael Penix Jr.’s troubles will continue in Week 10

Published by New York Post · United States 35 min ago
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) runs during an NFL game against the Cincinnati Bengals in Madrid, Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026. The Bengals won 34-17. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) runs during an NFL game against the Cincinnati Bengals in Madrid, Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026. The Bengals won 34-17. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect · New York Post

Detailed summary

The betting market is beginning to raise questions about the Chiefs.

From a 5-0 start to back-to-back losses and a slow start against the woeful Jets, the Chiefs are raising caution on the betting market.

An elite Seahawks defense shut down Patrick Mahomes in Week 7 while communication and bad penalties cost the Chiefs against the Broncos the following week, but lack of execution has been the theme for 10 of their last 12 quarters of football.

Be that as it may, the Chiefs are laying 3.5 points against the Falcons in Atlanta this week.

The Falcons have been bludgeoned to a 50-17 scoring deficit over their last two games, first getting shut out by Tampa Bay, who remarkably didn’t complete a single pass attempt, before allowing Cincinnati to score 34 points in Madrid.

He’s completed just 59 percent of his passes for 5.9 yards per attempt over his last four games, ranking 26th and 28th in the NFL, respectively.

As much as we can point fingers at the Chiefs’ offense as of late, the defense has held its end of the bargain all season, holding opponents to 6.4 yards per attempt and a 2.5 percent touchdown rate.

Atlanta’s best offensive weapon remains Bijan Robinson, who leads the league with 880 rushing yards, but Kansas City has been stout against the run, surrendering just 96.3 yards per game.

And in the Chiefs’ backfield, while Kenneth Walker has been a breath of fresh air, he was ruled out for this game after not practicing Friday due to groin tightness.

Rookie Emmett Johnson, who is averaging 13.9 yards per game and has two total touchdowns, will take over lead back duties.

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