The missing middle of capital recycling; The capital that never comes back

详细摘要

In October 2024, Africa50 announced a $100 million asset recycling programme with the Government of Gambia and took over the ...

In October 2024, Africa50 announced a $100 million asset recycling programme with the Government of Gambia and took over the operation of the Senegambia Bridge, a crossing that already existed and already carried traffic. A first tranche of $15.5 million was disbursed. A government had taken a mature asset, passed it to a long-term operator and released capital. A 2026 report from Africa50 and the African Development Bank still describes the transaction as an early proof point. Public reporting does not say what the proceeds will fund, which, as we shall see, is part of the lesson. The first three conditions are visible in Senegambia; the fourth is not.

This series has followed capital through availability, risk, bankability, structure, access, deployment and mobilisation, and then through revenue, currency and the public counterparty. All of it concerns getting capital into infrastructure. The Missing Middle of Capital Recycling concerns what happens after: the gap between a built asset that earns and the capital locked inside it. Money deployed once should be able to return and be deployed again. In most of Africa it does not.

The scale justifies the attention. Africa50 puts the continent’s infrastructure financing gap at between $68 billion and $108 billion. Closing it with new borrowing alone means more debt, at a time when governments have little fiscal room. Proponents argue that recycling is the one source that does not add to sovereign debt. That claim holds only if the proceeds are reinvested well.

Four things must hold. There must be an asset: operating, with a track record and rights that can be transferred. There must be a buyer: long-term capital with a mandate to own it. There must be a vehicle, whether a concession, a trust or a securitisation, that lets ownership move without breaking the revenue chain. And there must be a rule: the proceeds must flow into new infrastructure, not disappear into the general budget.

Australia built a policy around the…

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