Ben Carroll risks losing his seat at Victorian election as Coalition extends primary vote lead in new opinion poll

Résumé détaillé

A new poll has put Opposition Leader Jess Wilson on track to win the Victorian election, as Premier Ben Carroll faces the prospect of losing his own seat.

Victorian Premier Ben Carroll is at risk of losing his own seat at the state election, as the Coalition extends its primary vote lead over Labor with just over two weeks to go until polling day.

A new poll out on Friday shows Opposition Leader Jess Wilson is on track to lead the Liberal-Nationals coalition to a win at the November 28 election.

The second Lighthouse election tracking poll conducted by News Corp Australia’s Growth Intelligence Centre shows Labor’s primary vote has fallen one point to 21 per cent, while the Coalition has risen one to 32 per cent, the Herald Sun reported.

One Nation’s primary vote was stable at 23 per cent, as was the Greens at 14 per cent and ‘others’ sitting at 10 per cent.

The net favourability ratings of both Mr Carroll and Ms Wilson have improved as the campaign continues, but Ms Wilson is significantly more popular, sitting at +17 while Mr Carroll trails on -19.

Meanwhile, bookmaker Sportsbet has shortened the odds of Mr Carroll retaining his seat of Niddrie in Melbourne’s northwest, pushing him out to paying $2.80 against the $1.45 for the Liberals.

The largest single reason Coalition voters gave for their choice in the Lighthouse poll – 39 per cent – was “time for a change”, which 46 per cent of One Nation voters also selected.

Labor voters had more varied reasons for their choice, with 20 per cent citing policies and plans, while 18 per cent said Labor’s values resonated with them and 13 per cent said they had always voted Labor.

The poll surveyed 1351 Victorian voters online through the Lighthouse Consumer Tracker, a continuous survey run by News Corp Australia’s Growth Intelligence Centre.

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